Climate Crisis on Prospective Distribution of Shorea robusta (Gaertn.) in Tropical Deciduous Forests of Eastern Ghats of India
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.36808/if/2023/v149i11/169433Keywords:
Climate Change, Eastern Ghats, Environmental Parameters, MaxEnt, Representative Concentration Pathways, Shorea robusta Gaertn.Abstract
Sal (Shorea robusta Gaertn.) being a dominant species in the Eastern Ghats of India plays a vital role in regulating climate change by upholding a huge quantum of CO2. Our study has highlighted the present extent of habitat 2 suitability of S. robusta and its future loss using MaxEnt model in three climatic years 2050, 2070 and 2080 under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) in Koraput district of Odisha. Out of 23 environmental parameters, Slope, Minimum temperature of the coldest month and Precipitation of the coldest quarter contributed the most towards the modeling process. In the present study, the unsuitability area increased by 306.6812 km2 and 479.7541 km2 in case of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 respectively till the year 2100. The area under high suitability will see a decrease of 632.953 km2 in RCP 4.5 and 726.528 km2 in RCP 8.5 and shows a drastic transition towards medium and low suitability area which showed RCP 8.5 impacted more as compared to RCP 4.5. The present model was found to be satisfactory with the area under curve (AUC) value of 0.892. The present study highlighted the deleterious effect of climate change on the habitat loss of S. robusta and locates suitable area for its conservation.References
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